US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar flat after steady Jobless Claims Report

The US Dollar trades broadly sideways and even pops marginall in the green on supportive Jobless Claims release. Traders took the Fed's rate decision and rhetoric as less hawkish than feared. The US Dollar Index holds ground above 105.50 and pushes back on bearish bets.

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Latest US Dollar Index Analysis


Latest US Dollar Index Analysis

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EUR/USD declines below 1.0700 as USD recovery continues

EUR/USD declines below 1.0700 as USD recovery continues

EUR/USD lost its traction and declined below 1.0700 after spending the first half of the day in a tight channel. The US Dollar extends its recovery following the strong Unit Labor Costs data and weighs on the pair ahead of Friday's jobs report.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD struggles to hold above 1.2500

GBP/USD struggles to hold above 1.2500

GBP/USD turned south and dropped below 1.2500 in the American session on Thursday. The US Dollar continues to push higher following the Fed-inspired decline on Wednesday and doesn't allow the pair to regain its traction.

GBP/USD News

Japanese Yen trims some intraday losses as BoJ data supports Japan's intervention

Japanese Yen trims some intraday losses as BoJ data supports Japan's intervention

The Japanese Yen rallied on Wednesday amid speculations of another intervention by authorities. The momentum, however, runs out of steam on the back of the divergent BoJ-Fed policy outlooks. Traders now look to the second-tier US data for some impetus ahead of the NFP report on Friday.

USD/JPY News

Gold slumps below $2,300 as US yields rebound

Gold slumps below $2,300 as US yields rebound

Gold extended its daily slide and dropped below $2,290 in the second half of the day on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield erased its daily losses after US data, causing XAU/USD to stretch lower ahead of Friday's US jobs data.

Gold News

Oil unable to hold gains with Hamas signaling it is open for a ceasefire deal

Oil unable to hold gains with Hamas signaling it is open for a ceasefire deal

Oil took it on the chin with a 5.5% in just three trading days. WTI Oil's recovery to $80 gets cut short by positive news from Hamas. The US Dollar Index holds ground above 105.50 and trades flat ahead of weekly Jobless Claims. 

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DOLLAR INDEX, USDX

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people:

  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
  • The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index.
  • The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.”
  • US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative.

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The US Dollar Index

When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.

A Look at the US Dollar Index

Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.